Inflation: Just How Worried Should We Really Be?
Last week, we learned that the Consumer Price Index rose by 0.47% in January, well above expectations. Excluding food and energy, the news was not much better, with a 0.45% adv...
Moderate, Steady Growth Expected for US Q1 GDP
US economic activity is on track to maintain a moderate growth rate in 2025’s first quarter, according to the median for several nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. Today’s initial Q1 ...
US Dollar: A Quieter Market Session Could Favour the Currency
Geopolitics takes centre stage as US markets enjoy a bank holiday. Both gold and US dollar try to recoup Friday’s losses. Major currencies extend monthly gains ve...
Will Buy the Dip Strategy Fail in 2025? Investors Face Growing Instability Risks
The appetite for leverage in the stock market currently appears insatiable. “Retail daredevils — undeterred by recent Wall Street jitters over AI and crypto — are going long, pumping up lever...
S&P 500 Forms Weekly Emini Retest of All-Time High
Market Overview: S&P 500 Emini Futures The S&P 500 Emini markets formed a weekly Emini retest of an all-time high. The bulls want a breakout into new all-time...
Roaring 2020s and Reciprocal Tariffs
US Economy I: On the Road Again. Taylor Swift’s “The Eras Tour” was her sixth tour. It started on March 17, 2023, in Glendale, Arizona and concluded on December 8, 202,4 in Vancou...
Rates May Still Be Heading Much Higher
It will be a slow start to the week, with the markets closed on Monday for Presidents’ Day. Things should pick up for the market by Wednesday. Of course, we’ll have the Fed m...
The Impact of Tariffs Is Not as Bearish as Predicted
There are many media-driven narratives about the impact of tariffs on the economy and the markets. Most of them are incredibly bearish, predicting the absolute worst possible outcomes. For fu...
Have Tactical Asset Allocation Funds Failed? Not so Fast
Morningstar* last week advised that tactical asset allocation funds “failed—again.” That sounds ominous for this class of strategies, but a closer review suggests it’s misguided to p...
Retail Sales See Biggest Drop Since 2023: Are Interest Rates Squeezing Economy?
Total retail sales for January came in at $723.9 billion, a decline of -0.9% for the month. The street was expecting a decline of only -0.2%. This ...
