• February 8, 2025

Could the Market Have Mispriced Inflation Odds?

Our main macro thesis for the first half of 2025 is that another disinflationary wave will hit the US. We expect core PCE to annualize at or below 2% in H1 20...

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• February 7, 2025

Where Does Money Come From?

All money is lent into existence . The Federal Reserve or the government does not print money. Those two facts are vital to understanding our lead question: where d...

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• February 7, 2025

Rising Yields and Reckless Spending: America's Inflation and Debt Crisis

I want to expand a bit on market liquidity and why modeling it is so crucial to the economy, inflation, and money management. Liquidity is the progenitor of Pento Portfolio Strategies’ Inflat...

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• February 7, 2025

Markets Weekly Outlook – Inflation Fears Rise With Tariffs Ahead of US CPI Release

Markets had an interesting end to the week with a mixed bag of jobs data leaving a lot to be desired. However, in 2025 Fridays have proven anything but disappointing thus far, and this week d...

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• February 7, 2025

Alibaba: How the Stock Could Defy Trade Tariffs and Surge Higher

Investors have had to deal with the recent stock market volatility that has come along with President Trump's latest round of tariffs. While these are leaving a lot of uncertainty across the ...

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• February 7, 2025

BigBear.ai: Can New Leadership and Deregulation Unlock Growth?

BigBearai Holdings Inc (NYSE: BBAI ) provides artificial intelligence (AI)-powered decision-intelligence solutions. On February 5, 2025, its stock price climbed to a 52-week hi...

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• February 7, 2025

Week Ahead: Will US CPI Be a Positive Distraction Amid Trump’s Tariff Games?

US consumer and producer prices are the main focal point. UK economic output data is to be watched too. But Trump and tariff headlines might be a bigger market dr...

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• February 7, 2025

Week Ahead: Fed Chair Powell, US, China and Swiss CPI, US Retail Sales, UK GDP

SUN : Chinese Inflation (Jan) MON : Norwegian CPI (Jan) and GDP (Q4/Oct), EZ Sentix Index (Feb), UK GDP (Q4) TUE : EI...

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• February 7, 2025

US Dollar: Traders Pause Selling as Nonfarm Payrolls Data Looms

Dollar rebounds ahead of NFP data. BoE cuts rates by 25bps, ultra-hawk votes for double cut. Canada’s jobs data to shake BoC expectations. S&P 500 and...

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• February 7, 2025

Forecasting Errors Could Put Fed on Wrong Side Again

The Federal Reserve’s record of forecasting has frequently led it to respond too late to changes in economic and financial conditions. In the most recent FOMC meeting, the Fede...

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