• January 27, 2025

Fed to Pause Rate Cuts in the Face of Tariff Uncertainty

Markets trade at the mercy of Trump’s tariff rhetoric Fed to pause due to Trump uncertainty and strong US economy Investors may lock gaze on forward guidance Thursd...

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• January 27, 2025

Trump’s Tactics Continue to Weigh on Market Sentiment

Trump’s tariff strategy paying off. Dollar rallies but equity indices take a tumble. The busy calendar this week as China celebrates New Year. Gold, oil and cryptos...

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• January 26, 2025

DeepSeek: Is This a Sputnik Moment?

Is DeepSeek a Sputnik Moment? Let's break it down. The Soviet Union's October 1957 launch of the world's first artificial satellite, Sputnik 1, stunned the U.S., which reckoned it had a ...

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• January 26, 2025

Inflation Risks, Employment Concerns Continue to Weigh on Consumer Sentiment

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment data for January was revised lower this morning, from 73.2 to 71.1. Well below the historical average of 84.7 (orange line), now for the 4...

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• January 26, 2025

Stocks Week Ahead: Market's Risk to Reward Ratio Does Not Favor the Bulls

This week, we have the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, followed by the European Central Bank ( ECB ) meeting on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made waves...

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• January 26, 2025

Time to Recalibrate Our 3 Market Scenarios?

We regularly assess the subjective probabilities that we assign to our three scenarios: the Roaring 2020s (55%), the Meltup 1990s (25%), and the Stagflationary 1970s (20%). The last scenario, wit...

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• January 26, 2025

Gold Prices Rise as Dollar Weakens Amid Trade Tariff Uncertainty

Gold Continues Moving Upwards The gold ( XAU/USD ) price rose by 0.64% on Friday as the US dollar (USD) weakened after US President Donald Trump called for lowe...

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• January 26, 2025

Resumption of Financial Tightening Could Expose Significant Market Vulnerabilities

The pause in financial conditions tightening helped stocks rally. Semiconductors’ market cap weighting reached an all-time high. Mag7 corporate bond y...

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• January 26, 2025

Maintaining Risk Control Is Crucial as Market Sentiment Can Shift Quickly

It’s been a volatile start to the year, with an abundance of expectations placed on what the new administration would do in its first weeks, days, and even hours of power. We’re off! ...

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• January 26, 2025

Markets Weekly Outlook: Fed to Extend Pause as Trump Era Begins?

US equities markets rose due to President Trump’s pro-business policies and decision to not impose tariffs on major trading partners yet. The Bank of Japan raised rates to 0.5%, the ...

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